What about reservoirs? Questioning anthropogenic and climatic interferences on water availability     

Abdullah Akbas  Jim Freer  Hasan Ozdemir  Paul D. Bates  M. Tufan Turp 《水文研究》2020,34(26):5441-5455

Water resources in semi-arid regions like the Mediterranean Basin are highly vulnerable because of the high variability of weather systems. Additionally, climate change is altering the timing and pattern of water availability in a region where growing populations are placing extra demands on water supplies. Importantly, how reservoirs and dams have an influence on the amount of water resources available is poorly quantified. Therefore, we examine the impact of reservoirs on water resources together with the impact of climate change in a semi-arid Mediterranean catchment. We simulated the Susurluk basin (23.779-km²) using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. We generate results for with (RSV) and without reservoirs (WRSV) scenarios. We run simulations for current and future conditions using dynamically downscaled outputs of the MPI-ESM-MR general circulation model under two greenhouse gas relative concentration pathways (RCPs) in order to reveal the coupled effect of reservoir and climate impacts. Water resources were then converted to their usages – blue water (water in aquifers and rivers), green water storage (water in the soil) and green water flow (water losses by evaporation and transpiration). The results demonstrate that all water resources except green water flow are projected to decrease under all RCPs compared to the reference period, both long-term and at seasonal scales. However, while water scarcity is expected in the future, reservoir storage is shown to be adequate to overcome this problem. Nevertheless, reservoirs reduce the availability of water, particularly in soil moisture stores, which increases the potential for drought by reducing streamflow. Furthermore, reservoirs cause water losses through evaporation from their open surfaces. We conclude that pressures to protect society from economic damage by building reservoirs have a strong impact on the fluxes of watersheds. This is additional to the effect of climate change on water resources.  相似文献   

浅析动画效果地图的公开表示     

周昕薇  狄琳  白敬辉  刘杰  刘晓辉 《测绘通报》2020,(2):118-120

公开地图的表示关乎国家安全、领土完整、民族尊严，具有严肃的政治性、严密的科学性和严格的法定性。动画效果地图是大众喜闻乐见而又十分有效的信息传播载体。但在公开表示方面存在盲区，是"问题地图"的高发区，可能造成严重的不良影响。本文总结了动画效果地图的常见类型、高发问题及成因，提出了动画效果地图表示方法建议，明确了地图底图和动画效果都要符合公开地图表示有关要求，对动画效果地图的制作和公开使用具有一定的指导性和启发性。  相似文献   

软土场地基础隔震建筑减震性能研究     

罗翔  戴靠山  吕洋  张世明  周光鑫  魏明宇 《地震工程与工程振动》2020,(1):213-222

本文研究土与结构相互作用(SSI)对多层及中高层基础隔震建筑地震需求及隔震效率的影响规律,隔震层采用LRB铅芯橡胶与LNR普通橡胶隔震支座组合,就我国现行《建筑抗震设计规范》(GB50011-2010)中软土场地设置隔震层问题做探讨。提出土与基础隔震结构相互作用的简化计算模型,对不同场地及隔震设计目标下的多层及中高层基础隔震结构进行时程分析。研究表明:软土场地基础隔震建筑隔震层的有效隔震效率相对于硬土场地有所下降,必须通过设置具有一定规格的LRB支座来满足隔震目标。本文给出了铅芯橡胶支座极限变形需求随建筑层高及隔震目标变化的规律。  相似文献   

AP1000核电厂模型基底隔震振动台试验研究     

周志光  周龙定  赵锦一 《地震工程与工程振动》2020,(2):64-72

为研究AP1000核电厂基底隔震性能,设计了缩尺比为1/40的AP1000核电厂模型结构,进行了AP1000核电厂模型基底隔震振动台试验。试验中采用铅芯橡胶隔震支座进行隔震,并选取RG1.60人工波、El Centro波和Kobe波作为地震动输入。本文从加速度响应、楼层加速度反应谱、加速度峰值放大系数、减震率等方面对隔震与非隔震核电厂结构的地震响应特性进行了研究。试验结果表明:隔震能明显减小上部结构水平向加速度响应和加速度反应谱峰值,而在隔震频率处隔震模型加速度反应谱有所增加;隔震模型由于摇摆效应在隔震频率处的水平向楼层加速度反应谱随楼层高度的升高先减小后增大;在三向输入地震动作用下,隔震和非隔震AP1000模型各楼层在竖向基频附近的竖向加速度反应谱较竖向输入的地震动放大较为明显。  相似文献   

An alternative Boussinesq equation considering the effect of hysteresis on coastal groundwater waves          下载免费PDF全文

Jun Kong  Zhaoyang Luo  Chengji Shen  Guofen Hua  Hongjun Zhao 《水文研究》2016,30(15):2657-2670

This paper presents an alternative Boussinesq equation considering hysteresis effect via a third‐order derivative term. By introducing an improved moisture–pressure retention function, this equation describes, with reasonable precision, groundwater propagation in coastal aquifers subject to Dirichlet boundary condition of different oscillation frequencies. Test results confirmed that it is necessary to consider horizontal and vertical flows in unsaturated zone, because of their variable influences on hysteresis. Hysteresis in unsaturated zone can affect the water table wave number of groundwater wave motion, such as wave damping rate and phase lag. Oscillations with different periods exert different hysteresis effect on wave propagation. Truncation/shrinkage of unsaturated zones also affects the strength of hysteresis. These impacts can be reflected in the alternative Boussinesq equation by adjusting the parameter representing the variation rate of moisture associated with pressure change, as opposed to traditional computationally expensive hysteresis algorithms. The present Boussinesq equation is simple to use and can provide feasible basis for future coupling of groundwater and surface water models. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

A new numerical approach to the hyperstatic reaction method for segmental tunnel linings     

Ngoc Anh Do  Daniel Dias  Pierpaolo Oreste  Irini Djeran‐Maigre 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2014,38(15):1617-1632

This paper proposes a numerical approach to the hyperstatic reaction method (HRM) for the analysis of segmental tunnel linings. The influence of segmental joints has been considered directly using a fixity ratio that is determined on the basis of the rotational stiffness. The parameters necessary for the calculation are presented. A specific implementation has been developed using a FEM framework. This code is able to consider the three‐dimensional (3D) effect of segment joints in successive rings on the tunnel lining behaviour. The present HRM allows one to take an arbitrary distribution of segment joints along the tunnel boundary into consideration. In addition, the rotational stiffness of segment joints has been simulated using nonlinear behaviour, as it is closer to the true behaviour of a joint than linear or bilinear behaviour. The numerical results of three hypotheses on ring interaction, which allow the 3D effect of a segmental tunnel lining to be taken into account, have been compared with data obtained from the shield‐driven tunnel of the Bologna–Florence high‐speed railway line project. The numerical results presented in the paper show that the proposed HRM can be used to effectively estimate the behaviour of a segmental tunnel lining. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Modelling the internal stress field in argillaceous rocks under humidification/desiccation     

L.L. Wang  A. Pouya  M. Bornert  B. Halphen 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2014,38(16):1664-1682

This paper deals with analytical and numerical modelling of the internal stress generated in argillaceous rocks during humidification/desiccation processes, which is an essential issue for damage study. This local stress field arises from two mechanisms: (i) complex interactions between free swelling/shrinking clay matrix and non‐strained inclusions of carbonate and quartz and (ii) a self‐restraint effect induced by the moisture gradient during the transient moisture exchange process. The inclusion–matrix interaction is investigated in different cases. Firstly, the analytical solution of the stress around a cylindrical inclusion embedded in an infinite swelling matrix is derived: The inclusion would suffer tension (compression) under humidification (desiccation), and the resulting cracking patterns are discussed. Then, the problem of two inclusions with different distances in an infinite swelling matrix is considered, and it is shown that the local stress around an inclusion will be perturbed and amplified by neighbouring inclusions. Finally, an inclusion outcropping at the free surface of a swelling matrix is modelled as to investigate the effect of free surface: The inclusion–matrix interface undergoes shear stresses of which the maximum is found at the free surface. In addition to the inclusion–matrix interaction, the self‐restraint effect is investigated: The induced stress is maximal at the beginning of humidification/desiccation processes and vanishes gradually with time. The quantity of the self‐restraint stress is strongly controlled by the hydric loading rate. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

海洋效应对中国沿海地磁观测影响——以广州台站为例   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

李建平  翁爱华  李世文  杨悦  唐裕  张艳辉 《地球物理学报》2018,61(2):649-658

以广州台站为例，研究海洋效应对中国沿海地磁观测C-响应的影响.海洋效应的三维正演模拟采用球坐标系下交错网格有限差分方法，假设磁层环形电流源，正演电阻率结构模型采用"地表3-D电导+1-D层状背景"复合模型.数值模拟结果表明，中国地区沿海C-响应受海洋效应影响明显.在空间上，沿海岸线方向，受海洋效应影响，单周期的C-响应由无海洋效应的常值变形为平行于海岸线的等值线密集梯度带；在垂直海岸方向，海洋效应影响向内陆减小，其影响可达哈尔滨-贵阳一线.海洋效应影响采用比值法进行校正，以广州台站为例，在比值曲线上发现海洋效应对C-响应的影响最大周期可达20天左右，并且就中国沿海而言，相对全球平均一维模型，利用中国地区平均一维电导率模型作为背景模型的海洋效应校正结果更加合理.进一步对广州台站海洋效应校正前后的C-响应进行了1-D反演，由于校正前的C-响应在小周期时受海洋效应特别大，直接反演无法拟合数据；但校正后反演拟合明显变好，得到的1-D导电模型表明广州地区上地幔及地幔转换带的电阻率比中国平均电阻率高约一个量级，推测中国华南地区南部的地幔转换带可能处于相对冷的环境，该模型可能成为菲律宾海板块西向俯冲并滞留到华南大陆下方地幔转换带的电性证据.  相似文献   

基于奇异谱分析的静态相对重力观测重力固体潮提取   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

郭金运  高文宗  于红娟  刘新  孔巧丽  陈晓东 《地球物理学报》2018,61(10):3889-3902

针对相对重力测量数据中存在的重力固体潮信号，本文提出将奇异谱分析方法（Singular Spectrum Analysis，SSA）应用到相对重力测量数据处理中，在不需要测站坐标等先验信息的条件下从相对重力数据中提取重力固体潮，提供了一种获取重力固体潮的新思路.采用模拟的相对重力数据进行实验，利用SSA方法和小波变换方法分别从模拟信号中提取重力固体潮并进行结果对比，SSA获取的重力固体潮与理论值残差RMS为0.3 μGal，小波方法获取的残差RMS为1.6 μGal.利用CG-5相对重力仪实测数据进行实验，提出一种利用SSA外推时间序列来削弱边界效应的新思路，实验结果显示采用这种方法后重力固体潮值与理论值残差序列的RMS和STD均有所减小.通过实验发现削弱边界效应后SSA提取的重力固体潮与采用Tamura潮波表计算的重力固体潮理论值残差RMS值为2.2 μGal.利用SSA提取的零点漂移值与最小二乘拟合得到的结果基本一致，十天内的差值小于0.4 μGal/d.  相似文献   

华北地区跨断层流动形变监测场地优化初探   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

陆明勇  于海生  李志雄  李杰  王秀文  李岩峰  寇建新  冯军  张平法 《中国地震》2018,34(4):837-844

首先分析了华北地区跨断层流动形变监测场地布测现状及监测效能,继而依据跨断层流动形变测量规范及监测的可控性、均匀性、目的性以及监测场地监测效能等,结合该区域断裂活动及地震活动性研究结果,给出华北地区跨断层流动形变监测场地拟优化布设结果。该优化布设结果消除了华北地区跨断层流动形变网监测地震活动盲区,有助于提高该区跨断层流动形变网监测地震活动能力。  相似文献